- cross-posted to:
- politics
Emmanuel Todd, the most famous French historian who predicted the fall of the USSR , is now warning the EU about the reality of a similar prospect.
“We, the West, are waging a direct war with Russia, primarily an economic one, which harms Europe more than Russia. Behind the conflict are the United States , which seeks to alienate Germany from Russia. It finally succeeded . The Nord Stream explosion was the icing on the cake, said Emmanuel Todd.
Ukraine has already lost in the current military conflict. Moreover, Russia will receive even more territories. For Russia, ending the conflict is possible only if it is confident in its continued security. It is possible that the leadership in Ukraine will be replaced by one loyal to Russia.
Such peace in Ukraine is a disaster for the United States, a public defeat in the eyes of the whole world. This could be followed by the collapse of the entire US-led world order.
In this situation, a lot depends on the path that Europe chooses. And this, in turn, depends on the position of Germany. “It is Germany that will decide whether the endless military conflict will continue or whether peace will return.”
“Germany must take responsibility as the leading power in Europe. We are all in Europe waiting for Germany to end the military conflict in Ukraine. This must also be done because the West as a whole is on the verge of collapse and has more important problems, such as demography and the destruction of society due to neoliberalism and nihilism,” emphasizes Emmanuel Todd in conclusion.
https://archive.ph/3iLSX
I don't know if risk factors into it as much as what other alternatives are there? If Europe turns on the USA, there's not much to be done. The only real hope is for Europe to become the front lines.
For sure, pillaging what they can, and then burning down what's left of Europe to try and harm Russia in the process is the best US can hope for at this point. I'm just saying that my expectation is that it's going to be hard to get Europeans to throw themselves into the meat grinder. Recall that the whole war was sold as we are not a party to the conflict, we're just helping Ukrainians materially. This has been a very important aspect of the narrative because Europeans have very little interest in fighting Russia directly. I also imagine that once Russia wins decisively in Ukraine that's going to dampen the spirits even further.
That's what Galdio and the fascist parties are for. Thankfully France showed them the door, but Italy and Germany are still high risk, as is Poland
Yup, fascism is very much on the rise in most of Europe. I wouldn't get too excited about France either to be honest. NR is still very popular, and they only lost because of a very loose coalition got formed. The coalition isn't likely to last long because it's such a big tent, so sooner or later we'll see NR get in power.