- cross-posted to:
- chapotraphouse
- cross-posted to:
- chapotraphouse
Does not bode well.
it was from my latin american history course, favourite one I took, professor taught it from a 100% openly Marxist perspective. Final slide he displayed during his last lecture just said
"There can be no socialism without democracy nor democracy without socialism"
Fuckin based prof.
But anyway this "hegemonic cycle" thing scares the shit out of me given where we are right now.
"1890 - loss of hegemony" is interesting because the UK is generally not considered to have fallen from great power until the Suez Crisis 1956. I guess your prof is basically predicting a humiliating final nail in the coffin of America's loss of superpower status circa ~2070?
Yeah there's always a lot of overlap - even if America like, loses territory in 2070 and is totally surpassed by China, they might still be doing jolly imperialist gags for another 100 years. Just in a limited sphere of influence.
Hell I'm sure the Netherlands is doing something fucky right now, that they owe to the 17th century.
Doesn't seem like he is taking climate change into account because if so I'd bet before 2050 realistically maybe even before ~2035 It will only take a few natural disasters going on concurrently to fuck everything.
2050 would be a good year to predict if you're an optimist, imagine China converting to communism as promised while being the dominant economic power.