Yes, the Dems only have 1 Senate seat at risk while the GOP have multiple. There's just a lot of Leftists who can't admit that they were wrong ("Dems will lose miserbaly unless they do everything we say!!!! And oh yea it'll be fascism just like the DNC said!!!")
Arizona and Nevada are guaranteed Dem wins after all the transplants from California, who unlike Texas tend to be a broad cross section of society looking for low CoL, not Chuds running away from west coast libs or whatever. Colorado and New Hampshire have far, far too many 30-50 year old whites with college degrees (who are like cult members) for the GOP to have a chance, also easy Dem wins.
Biden only won Arizona by 0.3%, and Nevada by 2.4%. Has there been such a substantial shift in their populations in the last year to overcome just the fact that the incumbent party usually does worse in midterms, let alone how awful the Dems have done?
Colorado and New Hampshire are definitely a stretch, Biden won them by 13% and 7.3%, so they’d have to fuck up pretty badly but I don’t know that it’s impossible.
I'm in Nevada, and I'd be pretty surprised if the Dems lost here given the electoral trajectory of the last 15 years. One scenario I can foresee that might lead to a loss, though, is the state Dems self sabotaging because democratic socialists took over the state machinery last year and the mainstream libs are pissed about it. I could absolutely see them deliberately throwing the election just to spite the left.
Parties doing worse in the midterms is not a rule. Dems will do better because the GOP is still full of psychos which the Dems will hammer home after the Supreme Court overturns Roe v Wade, and AZ and NV have incumbents who will be nudged across the finish line.
Why would you expect the Dems to do better in 2022 than they did in 2020? They’ve done everything they can to ensure they lose the next election, I expect every election that’s anywhere even close they’ll lose.
Isn’t senate something something can’t lose? Also if they fuck up abortion rights, prolly enough to rally supporters
Sure, but not controlling the House stops everything anyway.
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Yea, but they can also stop the normal shit like the highway bill etc.
stops what lmao, all the doing nothing?
Yes, the Dems only have 1 Senate seat at risk while the GOP have multiple. There's just a lot of Leftists who can't admit that they were wrong ("Dems will lose miserbaly unless they do everything we say!!!! And oh yea it'll be fascism just like the DNC said!!!")
This will not stop them from eating shit in the house and in state and county elections
They absolutely will not eat shit in the House. Hot take, but I think they will gain seats based on how the maps have changed after the last census.
Only 1? I see Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and maaaaybe even Colorado and New Hampshire, depending on how bad they fucked up.
Arizona and Nevada are guaranteed Dem wins after all the transplants from California, who unlike Texas tend to be a broad cross section of society looking for low CoL, not Chuds running away from west coast libs or whatever. Colorado and New Hampshire have far, far too many 30-50 year old whites with college degrees (who are like cult members) for the GOP to have a chance, also easy Dem wins.
Biden only won Arizona by 0.3%, and Nevada by 2.4%. Has there been such a substantial shift in their populations in the last year to overcome just the fact that the incumbent party usually does worse in midterms, let alone how awful the Dems have done?
Colorado and New Hampshire are definitely a stretch, Biden won them by 13% and 7.3%, so they’d have to fuck up pretty badly but I don’t know that it’s impossible.
I'm in Nevada, and I'd be pretty surprised if the Dems lost here given the electoral trajectory of the last 15 years. One scenario I can foresee that might lead to a loss, though, is the state Dems self sabotaging because democratic socialists took over the state machinery last year and the mainstream libs are pissed about it. I could absolutely see them deliberately throwing the election just to spite the left.
Parties doing worse in the midterms is not a rule. Dems will do better because the GOP is still full of psychos which the Dems will hammer home after the Supreme Court overturns Roe v Wade, and AZ and NV have incumbents who will be nudged across the finish line.
Why would you expect the Dems to do better in 2022 than they did in 2020? They’ve done everything they can to ensure they lose the next election, I expect every election that’s anywhere even close they’ll lose.
The House always wins.
Yes, capital always wins. The Democrats are not The House, and do often lose.