Every other day I get an email from Nancy Pelosi saying that the Dems are ahead in this race or that race. Are they really doing that good? I can understand a bump from student loan forgiveness, but with literally everything else going on, I won't be too surprised if they end up eating shit.
Ohio and NC are both polling dead even for the Senate. KY has an abortion measure on the ballot that may drive turnout (look at Kansas). Stuff will probably happen between now and November that will move the needle.
Senate polling doesn't seem very reliable as of late - the Democrats would have 52 or 53 seats now if you believed the polls in 2020.
The only poll for the Kansas Abortion Referendum showed the anti choice side winning by 3 pts, the pro choice side won by 17.
You're probably right. I haven't paid less attention to an election in many years.