This weird breakdowns on Twitter or ESS of voters not pledging fealty to Biden or Clinton, or breaking down at the possibility of people making legitimate demands, concessions, and pleas for relief and help met with disgust.

It's clear that both liberals and conservatives are quite reactionary but why do the former even attempt to pretend to be good people if they're just defending their privilege and identity?

  • gayhobbes [he/him]
    ·
    4 years ago

    The shock of Hillary losing is what broke them, especially coming on the heels of Brexit. I talk about this a lot but Clinton ran sort of the ultimate liberal fantasy camp of a campaign. She's popular among lanyard types and no one else, so the comparison to Tracey Flick that she gets often is not uncalled for. But her campaign built out an algorithm called Ada that told her where to campaign next based on the polls. If you ever wanted something more technocratic, you won't get it. So let me reiterate.

    Hillary's entire 2016 campaign was run on a fucking algorithm that was given preferential treatment over anything else. If it wasn't scientifically proven or metricized, it was discarded.

    There's a story of a woman looking to help out in Michigan (a state Hillary lost by a margin of 10,704 votes) who came into a campaign office asking for a yard sign, and the campaign dorks told her that a study said that they don't impact a candidate's electability, so they told her they don't have any. She left and never came back. This kind of wonky bullshit cost them by a dick's hair.

    Bill Clinton tried to advise on the campaign too and got overruled. As a consequence, Hillary never stepped foot in Wisconsin. She lost that state by 22,748 votes.

    Their false idol of metrics betrayed them, and suddenly nothing is certain.

    I will point out that liberals aren't the only ones who this broke. I see lots of leftists this time around not trusting polls and talking bout how Biden's gonna lose. I think it's good to not base all of your assumptions on metrics, but an exception simply proves the rule. 2016 isn't 2020, and Biden is polling really well compared to Hillary's numbers, and by all accounts he's got a much better ground game than she did. You have to use polls as a tool in a belt of methods to determine outcomes, and this time around looks very different. Unless things go south very quickly (and I doubt they will, people seem to be sick of Trump) then I don't see Biden losing. His margins are high enough to even overcome suppression attempts.