Best timeline, counteroffensive is a spectacular failure. Germany and maybe France reach sufficient internal support to seek rapprochement with Russia. All the countries that recently joined NATO have to double-down or be really fucking embarassed. Germany and maybe France start to distance themselves from NATO to continue rapprochement with Russia. Further decrease in the reach of the NATO-imperial apparatus.
OR worst timeline, we get a Polish YOLO....
How the hell does Biden or anyone in the state dept expect to 180 from a failure in Ukraine to a war with China? Europe is basically out of munitions, demoralized, and the rise in gas prices has agitated the people and businesses. You want to try to cut off another massive trade partner from Europe? Macron is already pushing back and talking to China.
Wait 5 years and everyone will forget
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Nah 5 days is enough. The whole Ukraine propaganda blast was insane.
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s/years/months/
Gore Vidal called it the United States of Amnesia.
America will simply produce all the weapons for the EU, and then Asia :so-true:
Also worrying is how Biden would have to frame a pullback from the conflict if it becomes a serious question in the coming year given the 2024 US election which he's already announced he's running for.