For decades, scientists have talked about so-called “committed warming” or the increase in future temperature based on past carbon dioxide emissions that stay in the atmosphere for well over a century. It’s like the distance a speeding car travels after the brakes are applied.

But Monday’s study in the journal Nature Climate Change calculates that a bit differently and now figures the carbon pollution already put in the air will push global temperatures to about 2.3 degrees Celsius (4.1 degrees Fahrenheit) of warming since pre-industrial times.

Previous estimates, including those accepted by international science panels, were about a degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) less than that amount of committed warming.

But it’s not game over because, while that amount of warming may be inevitable, it can be delayed for centuries if the world quickly stops emitting extra greenhouse gases from the burning of coal, oil and natural gas, the study’s authors say.

  • budoguytenkaichi [he/him,they/them]
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    4 years ago

    The only real hope you can have for global warming at this point is that some unforeseen future technology/scientific advancement will save our asses.

    • zangorn [none/use name]
      ·
      4 years ago

      My conclusion to the climate news is usually to want to start a garden and learn more about how I can live off the land. For example, we can. Ring back rain to dry regions by planting forests of trees. China is doing it successfully. Some day we might have the collective motivation to reclaim our environment and we will need the knowledge of where to start.