Pictured is a graph of historical global sea-surface temperatures across the year from 1982-2024. Yesterday was about 0.3°C warmer than last year. Well, maybe it will go back down since this is an El Niño year? :>

Average global surface air temperature in February 2024 was 1.77°C warmer than the average February from 1850-1900. So maybe we can retire those 1.5°C warming goals now?

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However, the IPCC reports that global temperatures have only risen by 1.1°C. This is because they use decade-long averages. Indeed, it is completely possible that 2025 will be cooler than 2024, but crop failures don't care much for averages. shrug-outta-hecks And if global warming has accelerated, the IPCC's method will be a decade late to realizing it. Not that they can actually do anything about it...

  • JuryNullification [he/him]
    ·
    6 months ago

    Just a guess, but the earth orbits closer to the sun during the northern hemisphere’s summer and farther during the northern hemisphere’s winter.

    • FunkyStuff [he/him]
      ·
      6 months ago

      There's also not the same amount of ocean surface on the northern hemisphere and southern hemisphere, although I think this actually cancels out some of the difference due to Earth's orbit.

      • HexBroke [any, comrade/them]
        ·
        6 months ago

        Ocean currents are pretty significant as well - if Antarctica wasn't surrounded by huge oceans on all sides we probably wouldn't have any icecaps left already

        • FunkyStuff [he/him]
          ·
          6 months ago

          Yeah, the other comment explained the actual reason, which is ocean currents. I was just spitballing but both the reasons in this particular thread of responses are extremely small next to ocean currents.