Here is June 27th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.
Here is June 28th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.
Here is June 29th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.
Here is June 30th's update! TLDR? Here's the summary.
I won't be able to write an update for today and tomorrow (as well as Sunday, my day off) due to work and travel - and honestly, due to overexposure to the words "international rules-based order" and "wage-price inflationary spiral" and "insignificant advances", I probably need a little time to unmelt my brain. I'll post some articles - good or bad - where I have an internet connection.
Links and Stuff
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map, who is an independent youtuber with a mostly neutral viewpoint.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict and, unlike most western analysts, has some degree of understanding on how war works. He is a reactionary, however.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.
https://t.me/asbmil ~ ASB Military News, banned from Twitter.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster - crowd-funded U.S journalist, mostly pro-Russian, works on the ground near warzones to report news and talk to locals.
https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.
https://t.me/rybar ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
With the entire western media sphere being overwhelming pro-Ukraine already, you shouldn't really need more, but:
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
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They simply can't period. This is a nonsensical question. Too many mega corporations have ties to China and couldn't take the hit if that happened. All the tech companies, Apple, Intel, AMD, Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla etc have deep ties to China, the Chinese market but most importantly have already invested billions in building factories in China. These companies make the majority of the NASDAQ.
It would mean the biggest crash in history by quite some margin and it would be the sort of crash that actualy hurts the rich because too many people in Wall Street do not want to abandon the game at any cost. We make fun of the wallstreetbets bros but Wall Street is no different realy, they don't know when to quit and only care about buying up the next dip. The old saying stocks only go up.
This is why the Fed spent billions buying stocks for the past 2+ years, it is all too big too fail. And even the recent drop from all time high is only realy bringing stuff back to 2020 levels.
Realy there is no "decoupling" or any of that shit. It would require the government to actualy have meaningful power over the corporations to force short term losses for the benefit of a long term strategy, which is just the opposite of what capitalism is about.
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It'd hurt China a lot to get sanctioned like that bc the west is by far the biggest consumer market and their economy rn is centred on exporting consumer goods, but it'd hurt the west to the degree of absolute societal collapse whereas China would just lose most of their customers but they'd still have a massive industrial base
That's a good point. The sanctions on Russia show that full on sanctions on China would absolutely wreck Western economies
The US is gonna wreck itself, isn't it?
You would be suprized what the numbers are 30% of china's econmy is exports for the wesr and the usa the reat is belt and road countrys not saying it won't hurt, but on the opposite side the us imports like 40% but what's important is that 40 ish present is critical good as aswell as treats the numbers come from the multopolarista podcast
Imagine the US/West attempts that and China just goes “Right then. Ports closed. In and out”.
They could trudge along with their domestic economy, but the US would be fucked.
Where are they going to get any form of processed materials? Oh, you want this one chemical ingredient for use in household paint, stainless half inch bolts, graphics cards? Dumb.
What, hit themselves in the face? If the west tries its really over for their economies
Good luck lol. They need us less than we need them, not to say that we couldn't hurt them. In the long run though having to immediately move over production to a swath of other third world states that we can exploit won't just be absurdly time consuming, it'll be really difficult because china's centralized planning made everything much more efficient.
US porkies stand too much to lose (and they love the idea of selling to the emerging Chinese market), and the decline for average Americans would be so steep you might actually see rioting, since treats are what matters