With it being overwhelmingly likely that Ukraine will receive Germany's Leopard tanks (whether from Germany itself or Poland), German tanks once again roll into battle against Russian forces after nearly a century.
Can the Leopard succeed against the Russian army where it failed in Syria? We'll find out soon enough.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.
January 23rd's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 25th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 27th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 28th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
Links and Stuff
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are fairly brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. The Duran, of which he co-hosts, is where the chuddery really begins to spill out.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.
https://t.me/asbmil ~ Now rebranded as Battlefield Insights, they do infrequent posts on the conflict.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of the really big pro-Russian (except when they're being pessismistic, which is often) telegram channels focussing on the war. Russian language.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Any Western media outlet that is even vaguely liberal (and quite a few conservative ones too).
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
Saw it on russian telegram & the only non-Russian source I could find is this, anyway:
"Russian losses.......
23 planes, 56 helicopters, 200 drones, 889 tanks and armored vehicles, 427 artillery pieces, 12 anti-aircraft systems, 18,480 dead, 44,500 wounded, 323 captured.
number of soldiers in the field 418,000, reserve 3,500,000
a massive influx of salarymen from abroad was observed in the Wagner unit
Ukrainians lost 302 planes, 212 helicopters, 2750 drones, 6320 tanks and armored vehicles, 7360 artillery pieces, 497 anti-aircraft systems, 157,000 dead, 234,000 wounded 17230 prisoners, the number of soldiers on the ground 734000
mobilization for the filling of military units in the amount of 100,000 soldiers is underway..
234 dead NATO soldiers (officers, instructors, operatives, US GB,) 2458 dead NATO soldiers (Poland, Germany, Lithuania...) 5360 dead mercenaries
data from .............
14.01.2023.
accuracy of Israeli intelligence data +-2"
The general consensus among the military forums and telegrams that aren't Ukraine-pilled is that Russian deaths were about a 1000 a month judging by obituaries and family announcements so 18,000 sounds pretty on point
And I gotta say 889 tank and armored vehicles is still alot even if it's nothing compared to what the Ukrainians have lost or the Russian stockpiles, but I can see why the Russians are so cautious in general
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On "889 tanks and armored vehicles"...I guess the major part of that number was destroyed in the beginning when Russians played very aggressively.
Kinda offtopic, here is an example of "destroyed" - and multiple times so - Russian tank:
"This is 'Ares' - the famous Breakthrough [on russian 'Proriv' = one of T-90M modifications]. It performed tasks in the Ugledar direction, was shot down, but the crew did not surrender it to the enemy.
Then they fought in the LPR, going to the Ukrainian positions and working literally point-blank. Enemis were firing at it from three sides, knocked down it's caterpillar. The crew managed to drive off the enemy and carry out operational repairs. The tank commander received a concussion. They continued to work, caught fire, but managed to retreat." https://t.me/voenacher/38258
I guess they were lucky Ukraine is low on Javelins and such, together with lack of people able to use these properly!? And OFC the engine itself is not bad + the crew reacted very well, to say the least.
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I'd say yes, since Russian official data from some 3 months ago was ~6 000 dead [the way Surovikin phrased it, it was very likely without DPR/LPR at least]; so let's say it was 12-15 000 total at that point!?
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