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these are the people that lecture you about anti-semitism and racism

Just a few random thoughts about Russian strategy and current short term goals in Ukraine. I've been religiously following this war since the first few days and I guess like many of you nerds here, one begins to sort of develop an understanding of military affairs after consuming so much content in a short period. My analysis of the current South Donetsk offensive is that it is the most coherent and well-executed campaign since the start of the war. Previous long-term Russian and Ukrainian offensives were like separate islands of small gains, never joining together into one single front that drastically collapses an entire part of the front. Ukraine for example during their 2023 summer offensive attacked in three different directions, south of Orikhiv, west of Bakhmut, and south of Velika Novosilka. All those fronts never had a realistic chance of actually linking up, as they were too far from each other and there was never a real coherent "what happens next" plan. Same with the Russian offensive in the start of the war. They attacked near Kiev, near Kharkov, from the South and north of the old LPR territory, but the first two fronts could never realistically collapse an entire sector and link up to be one continuous front with supply lines entirely located in the captured zones. Even Bakhmut was the same, Russia made a dent in the frontline, but the lack of offensives in Siversk and Toretsk meant that Russia couldn't collapse an entire sector and straighten out the line again, so they only took the city and some territory around it.

Their current southern offensive is different though, with three big arrows that are actually threatening the entire South Donetsk sector for Ukraine. An advance of a few km from each direction now is lethal for the AFU. They would lose one of the most fortified sectors of the front, and escape into open fields with no fortifications all the way to Pavlograd. According to a map of fortifications that I saw last week, the whole section from Kurakhovo to the centre of Dnipro Oblast has barely any defensible ground, and the opening of that sector for Russian troops means that they will be able to outflank Ukraine's north-south trench systems in Zaporozhye, and the east-west systems in fortified central Donetsk. 2025 will be extremely decisive for this war if Trump doesn't pull off a 4D chess peace agreement.

Some Mozambique questions that I have on my mind after recently watching a vlog by a Palestinian-Jordanian vlogger who was in Maputo.

1. How anti-imperialist is FRELIMO these days and how come that they seem mostly kinda hated by the locals?

2. How prevalent is drug use and general crime in the country? There seems to be crazy amounts of drug users in some neighborhoods and even the metal car logo thingy in front of cars get stolen and sold in criminal markets that are semi-allowed in the country.

3. Has FRELIMO achieved some success in terms of addressing widespread poverty and living conditions in the slums? The situation seemed horrible from what I saw in the video.

4. How deep is Portuguese colonial penetration these days? We know that the French never really left the colonies despite the independence of the colonies. What's the situation with Portuguese imperialism?

Our gigachad is still being based as hell

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This hot dude threw one of the Israeli hooligan fascists in the river. Happy he's on our side, we need more hot dudes with winner energy.

Despite his embarrassing levels of liberalism in recent years, I can't hate the man. Correct analysis by him, and hopefully he uses his last years to put together a foundation for something that goes beyond the Democratic Party and its corporate machine.

It's not over for Kamala actually, just wait for the diaspora pro-EU votes to trickle in folks

It's so funny that he's positioning him in front as the obvious favorite son of the emperor

For chud-brain dumbasses, Trump's Napoleon Arc is genuinely inspiring. Incredible persistence and lack of loser energy, he just refuses to permanently fuck off. We truly need leftist Trump, an annoying showman dude that never shuts up

America's gender reveal is complete:

IT'S A BOY 🟧🟦

I think she was one George W. Bush endorsement away from a total Reagan-style victory.

I hope that the number of votes she loses by is exactly the same number as Arab American votes for third party candidates.

Iowa is called for Trump. But but but the selzer poll has been right since 476 BC and they said Momala is up by three! Blue Wave confirmed 🌊🌊

Whose fault will it be this time? Russia? Iran? Palestine? China? Will the Dems just shrug their shoulders and say it's men or whites or farmers or whatever that are too sexist/racist/homophobic? It can never be their god awful strategies of offering black men crypto and weed, offering Arabs a Genocide Lite™ instead of Genocide Pro Max, offering nice deportation instead of evil deportation to Latinos, and offering nothing but scolding and contempt for poorer rural whites. There's much wrong with Americans, but the Democrats fucking suck at this.

This is so funny, this fucker is about to win again. I genuinely thought that it was joever for him in the last few days, but you can never count him out. God I will enjoy the meltdown so much, I hope that the Dems lose PA by the exact number of Jill Stein votes just to laugh at them even more.

Voting for Kamala just to spite Elon Musk is the most compelling pro-Kamala argument I've heard so far

Wait where's 72T? It's not the same without our bravest fighter.

Back online after two weeks of taking care of irl stuff. Random disconnected thoughts incoming:

• Aunt and her kids have successfully left Lebanon into Syria and then into Iraq, very happy with that. Thank God for the Iraqis, we're forever indebted to them for just how extraordinarily generous they've been with the refugees. Fuck the Egyptians for not even doing 0.1% of that for the people of Gaza.

• Son is already nearly four months old. Very nice kid tbh, not too many sleepless nights so far.

• Damn the Ukraine war is progressing very fast now, I don't even have time to learn the names of the villages anymore. Cursed town Ugledar might have been the glue that held together Ukraine's defence in the south-east. Nonstop collapse since Ugledar fell and now we are looking at the first big Russian arrow since the first weeks of the war. South Donetsk is done if Russia reach Andriivka, that entire Kurakhove corner will fall in matter of weeks. Very interesting developments on the Oskol sector as well, don't understand why Ukraine is letting their east Kupyansk grouping get pinned towards the river and not withdrawing behind a very defensible river line.

• I don't believe the reports about any ceasefire whether in Lebanon or Gaza. The Doha talks about Gaza are just a last ditch effort to provide a "peace in the Middle East" boost for Kamala, there's little real substance there. Same with the Lebanon negotiations, there's no incentive for any side here. Israel continue their forever war, Americans sell guns, Iranians have an excuse to lob missiles at Israel whenever they want now and Hezbollah are inflicting record damage on IDF losers.

• Help me out Hexxies, who will win the election? My instincts say it's big wet Donnie, but idk these days. How are the polls looking? I read reddit and in their world Kamala will win every single state, while right wings dumbasses on Twitter say that NY is a swing state.