meth_dragon [none/use name]

  • 9 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 6th, 2022

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  • there will be no dedollarization before a physical conflict that completely exhausts the hegemon materially and politically, destroying the extant system and thus creating the need for a new one.

    money can be part of the base in times of peace, but when it comes to dethroning the hegemon, it is always superstructure. this is because antihegemonism necessarily entails physical violence, conditions under which currency returns to its idealist origins while real resources and their effective application to ends destructive or otherwise becomes ascendant.

    the fastest way out is the abolishment of this intolerable peace enforced by MAD through rapidly escalating nuclear brinksmanship. hard to believe that mao had it right all this time.



  • china doesn't have any direct trump cards other than maybe physically retaking reddit island, but a provocation large enough to incite direct confrontation (and thus one that is also large enough to directly threaten hegemonic legitimacy) is probably enough to do in the empire. the geopolitical edging we are currently experiencing is a side effect of no one wanting to be the bad guy and flip the table, but it's not like things are getting any less tense.

    Braudel suggests that the withdrawal of the Dutch from commerce around 1740 to become 'the bankers of Europe' was typical of a recurrent world systemic tendency. The same process was in evidence in Italy in the fifteenth century, and again around 1560, when the leading groups of the Genoese business diaspora gradually relinquished commerce to exercise for about seventy years... After the Dutch, the British replicated the tendency during and after the Great Depression of 1873-96, when 'the fantastic venture of the industrial revolution' created an overabundance of money capital. After the equally 'fantastic venture' of Fordism-Keynesianism, we may add, US capital since the 1970s has followed a similar trajectory.

    reading between the lines (80 years war, anglo-dutch wars, ww1&2), it's pretty clear we're being herded by historical forces towards some conflict of eschatological proportion in the near future. it's not even in real doubt whether or not the us will lose the conflict, the real question seems to be one of how many of us will be left alive after the us system has been turned to ashes.

    on a lighter note, i actually think the current plan of 'making israel die very very slowly' is actually pretty good. if there is a direct intervention, the us is toast. if they don't intervene, you get all kinds of domestic unrest in the ruling class to add to the working class dissatisfaction. basically a lose-lose proposition that is faster than supply chain restructuring and is only solved if the euros decide to fall on their swords and actually do something about russia, and even then is only a temp fix.















  • best place for us to escalate is europe. logistics are easiest, most number of stooges to send to get killed, most politically captured, decent amount of capital to redirect.

    second by a wide margin is israel, logistics are bad, iran's too far away and has already been sanctioned to death, israel is tiny and the opponents that are actually targetable are a bunch of non state actors engaging in protracted people's war with islamic characteristics.

    third is asia. bunch of opportunistic islands all well within range of chinese strategic deterrence. us lost the korean war when it was at its most dominant, unlikely that it and its proxies will win round two.

    this is a message intended to deter the dprk from intervening as much as it might in eastern europe when the nato/russia conflict eventually kicks off and the russia/dprk mutual defense treaty is invoked.