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  • BigLadKarlLiebknecht [he/him, comrade/them]
    ·
    4 years ago

    Meanwhile the U.K. government is saying that a reintroduction of lockdowns might be necessary due to the Indian variant that is spreading. The non-profit I worked with on state level Covid response in the US didn’t expect a return to “normal” in the US until 2022 at the earliest. The Biden admin is basically rolling the dice here, and it’s going to kill people.

    A fun little thought experiment - the current US daily Covid case count is around 40k. This is a country that has “beaten Covid”. Take that number and plug it into this chart in The Lancet, and see how long it would take for a vaccine escape variant to have > 50% probability of arising. Now consider that India detected > 340k cases yesterday alone. I fear this isn’t over by a long shot, but hope that someone can tell me to stop being a doomer and that Sleepy Joe knows what he’s doing.

    Some additional light reading:

    • https://www.cuimc.columbia.edu/news/new-study-coronavirus-variants-predicts-virus-evolving-escape-current-vaccines-treatments
    • https://www.washington.edu/news/2021/04/13/covid-19-vaccines-escape-variants-of-the-coronavirus-are-a-serious-future-threat/
      • Huldra [they/them, it/its]
        ·
        4 years ago

        lol remember when Wuhan crematoriums ordered new urns and people decided that meant a trillion billion extra chinese people have died but Indian crematoriums literally are running out of fuel and not a single fucking blip in the media?