Undercover police in #Belarus getting punched up by protestors and forced back into their van. pic.twitter.com/jY8AhIzb6z— Jake Hanrahan (@Jake_Hanrahan) August 30, 2020
There is no positive outcome here. Only a choice between an aging dictator holding together the remnants of a socialist system, and neoliberal fascist decay.
We should take our cue from those leftists that have had to make this choice before.
Rolling in the tanks is the second worst response to a colour revolution, the worst being capitulation. If tanks are the only option left, the party screwed up badly.
The best short-term approach is to ensure the military remains on-side. Colour revolutions only really succeed when the military flips. From there, it’s just a matter of having security forces hold the line while foreign influence operations get taken out, and while the underlying material concerns get addressed.
Compare the response to June 4th and to the recent Hong Kong independence movement to see the differences.
Look at Poland, Hungary, and the Ukraine. They’re collapsing into right wing dictatorship.
Now, do me a favour. Read this thread covering the actions of Nazi collaborators in Beylorussia, and tell me that a de-Sovietised Belarus will be any better than their Baltic peers.
There is no positive outcome here. Only a choice between an aging dictator holding together the remnants of a socialist system, and neoliberal fascist decay.
We should take our cue from those leftists that have had to make this choice before.
Roll in the tanks
Rolling in the tanks is the second worst response to a colour revolution, the worst being capitulation. If tanks are the only option left, the party screwed up badly.
The best short-term approach is to ensure the military remains on-side. Colour revolutions only really succeed when the military flips. From there, it’s just a matter of having security forces hold the line while foreign influence operations get taken out, and while the underlying material concerns get addressed.
Compare the response to June 4th and to the recent Hong Kong independence movement to see the differences.
I appreciate the effort response