“The cost in human lives is appalling,” writes Molan. Xi Jinping has delivered his message even as the world still struggles to restore communications. Xi’s message to America, as Molan puts it:
“You are out of the Western Pacific and we will not let you re-establish your bases in Japan, South Korea or even Guam. From Japan to Australia and out to Hawaii, the Western Pacific is now a Chinese sphere of influence.”
It’s merely a scenario, but is it plausible? Molan argues that we’re preparing for the wrong war. He thinks that we’re all standing around waiting for a limited Chinese attack on Taiwan. And while he says that’s possible, it would only happen if China’s strategists are silly.
If Xi struck Taiwan, his attacking forces would be vulnerable to a hammering from the US. Why would he accept that pain when he has the option of pushing America out of the hemisphere altogether, forcing it back to the region east of Hawaii?
Then he can take Taiwan at his leisure, probably without the use of force. And dictate terms to US allies including Australia, now cut off from its great ally.
And Xi can luxuriate in history’s acclaim as the ruler who ended half a millennium of Western dominance of the Pacific.
angloid military strategists always make reality sound 10000x cooler than reality
https://archive.ph/wXdhE
Why wouldn't he simply force it out of the Pacific altogether and back to the Atlantic? Or even press the US out of every ocean on Earth? Rather than pushing America out of mere oceans, why wouldn't he just push China into the whole entire Milky Way Galaxy?
I think the reasoning here is that the US still would not want MAD even if it meant losing control of the Pacific. I doubt that reasoning
I think a better avenue would be to simply seek a more offensive solution, like establishing China's own military bases in South America
I don't think China should be seeking it's own bases overseas. Unlike the US, China is not a hegemonic power seeking to impose its will on others at gunpoint. A series of overseas bases would mark a possible change of China from the former to the latter, which I oppose.
Chinese bases are a guarantee against US exploitation, and the more powers there are competing for bases, the better of a deal Latin America (or Africa) gets in the long run