Even CNN speculated that would be the case. COVID and widespread protests were fortuitous in hurting Trump though. Biden was below where Hillary was at the same point in polling if I remember rightly, and the only saving grace was maybe doing better in the close states she lost. I haven't been checking too much but I think all this shit has just made the bar that much lower for him to pass. The mitigating factor is attempting to disenfranchise voters and throw out mail-in ballots and generally cast doubt ahead of the election. They want to stop any increase in turnout and any swing from Trump just being shit.