Nobody else has mentioned this yet, but seriously what's the over-under on an obese geriatric still being alive in 2024? The stupidest (and therefore most likely) outcome is that Trump decides to run, the Dems nominate an absolute basketcase in response since they think they've got the Presidency sewn up (maybe Hillary gets to go again, it is her turn after all) and then Trump dies before the election, leading to an R win.