Keep in mind I’m not Ecuadorian, but I’ve spent a decent amount of time there and know a lot of Ecuadorians, I was there during the protests. The Lasso voters I know are primarily against Correismo. They hate Correa, they believe all of the many fabricated criminal charges against him are true, they believe if Arauz wins he will turn the country into “another Venezuela”. They take their cues from right wing private media, even some of the Ecuadorian Americans I know who are liberal voters in the US are willing to vote for right wingers in Ecuador to stop Correa from coming back.

There is definitely some racism from these people against the indigenous. During the protests when Jaime Nebot (the right wing mayor of Guayaquil) said the natives should go back to the jungle I remember these people defending it as not racist “that is where they came from after all”. But their anti-socialist indoctrination outweighs the racism in my opinion, and they’ll be voting for Yaku.

Voting is also “mandatory” so even when the populace is fairly apathetic about the choices being offered, as is the case this year, turnout is high anyway so I wouldn’t count on the Lasso voters simply abstaining.