This comment by albanianbolshevik is a good class analysis of the current predicament in Belarus.
Putin doesn't want neoliberalism on his doorstep any more than it already is. Belarus is the last country that isn't western-aligned on his European border. He's likely going to use this to consolidate his influence in the country, and Lukashenko seems ready to play ball. This will mean the Belarusian Bourgeoisie will be compradors to the Russian Bourgeoisie, and will likely lose some power but keep their wealth. Belarusian workers will likely be in the same position as before, whereas if the color revolution prevailed, they would be subjected to shock therapy a la 1990s Russia.
This comment by albanianbolshevik is a good class analysis of the current predicament in Belarus.
Putin doesn't want neoliberalism on his doorstep any more than it already is. Belarus is the last country that isn't western-aligned on his European border. He's likely going to use this to consolidate his influence in the country, and Lukashenko seems ready to play ball. This will mean the Belarusian Bourgeoisie will be compradors to the Russian Bourgeoisie, and will likely lose some power but keep their wealth. Belarusian workers will likely be in the same position as before, whereas if the color revolution prevailed, they would be subjected to shock therapy a la 1990s Russia.
Thanks, exactly what I was looking for.