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:stalin-feels-good:
I gave an easy answer but I'm basically nostradamus
I predict this year will be exactly like 2021 but worse for the same reasons
and democrats will lose control of the government without passing anything significant
Molotovhalfempty promised me a new friend, I demand recompense :meow-tableflip:
Hey it's me MolotovHalfEmpty, your cool and good friend.
Or maybe you learned to be a cool and good friend to yourself. The closest friend there is.
:stalin-heart:
The vaccine will have nasty side effects due to being fast tracked and anti-vaxxers will become very commonplace, causing the vaccine to be nonmandatory
From me a year ago. Not too wrong, but the side effects are just your arm hurts for a day or two and that is considered nasty enough to be an antivaxxer :agony-shivering:
there are other side effects
it's just that those side effects are also side effects of covid (like the myocarditis)
pretty sure thats just an immune reaction. vaccine only gives you spike proteins in the same shape of covid, doesnt contain any covid at all
But that's like saying "the fruit juice only gives you sugar, it doesn't contain any pepsi at all"
The spike protein is what causes a majority of covid symptoms. It's just that the vaccine is safer because it doesn't have the opportunity to infinitely self replicate this spike protein like an actual virus does.
I mean, the rare side effects to Astra Zenica did cause it to be restricted, which massively slowed vax in many places.
The two most accurate ones I saw on there were the one that just said “death” and all the people who predicted deleted by creator
Initial COVID vaccines will be rushed to market, but the rollout will be a disaster with large neoliberal nations falling way behind smaller, poorer ones in the proportion of the population vaccinated
Turns out the neoliberal nations hoarded them and while the initial rollout wasn't that bad all things considered, the antivaxx movement has really reached heights I never thought it would back only a few years ago, and that, plus the lack of trust of governments, has really slowed things down to a halt in terms of the rollout today. So, half a point.
A superior vaccine will be blocked by US/UK governments due to political considerations under the guise of safety or trade considerations.
Basically, yeah.
Governments will tout flat or only mild increases in unemployment numbers despite mass unemployment due to the masking effect from a massive increase in part-time unlivable-wage gig economy jobs.
Well, yeah, but also the Great Resignation happened (and continues to happen) so that's an additional factor.
Boris Johnson will resign as PM and the fawning media coverage of Kier Starmer will swing back to the new ‘sensible’ Tory ghoul who takes his place.
Nope, but he's definitely closer to it than he's ever been.
Cyberpunk 2077 will release to mixed reviews settling on a good but slightly meh average score around 80/100.
It was initially mixed, and now sits at 86/100 on Metacritic. Good prediction.
Space X will see more competition in the private space flight industry, with more private rocket launches than ever before.
Kinda, with Jeff Bezos.
A new animal will be discovered, but will be immediately endangered due to deforestation or dwindling sea life numbers.
This probably happened but I never saw any news about it.
The democrats will get slaughtered at the midterms and maybe Joe will be the lamest of ducks.
Who knows yet, but Joe is already treating himself as a lame duck due to Manchin and his absolute refusal to wield any executive power whatsoever for any positive purpose. So this is already kinda true.
Libs are going to continuously and increasingly demand from leftists to bench the terms “defund the police” and “socialist” in some brain dead PR-stunt to not offend right wingers, while justifying their own rightward shift, and theyre gonna get really fucking pissy when people refuse to do this ending up with some racist and classist shit spewing out of their fucking mouths.
"Defund the police" as a slogan and any material impact of the BLM protests really petered out quickly so this basically happened, yeah. Libs getting more rightwing? Absolutely.
covid kills half a million Americans
Too few.
over a million Americans will die from Covid
Assuming we're talking about the actual figures, then yes.
Global warming will accelerate
A free space basically, but yep, the Texas power crisis was early on and there were heatwaves and fires and shit everywhere.
One of the largest American city transit systems becomes fully privatized and replaced by an Uber rideshare-style model.
Maybe? I don't live there so I wouldn't know. But Elon Musk's tunnel thing happened, so... half a point?
Some big non-psyop OKC-style attack by right wing militia
January 6th wasn't really that but it fits the general idea of the right wing getting jiggy with it.
Henry Kissinger doesn’t die, somehow.
Unfortunately, yes.
Christman’s Law will continue to hold true
It definitely keeps getting stupider.
Bernie Sanders will die and will go unacknowledged by most Democrats as an incredibly inspiring figure.
His baboon heart keeps ticking.
Right wing media will become the ones who start to care about the virus while libs will either start to ignore it or downplay it
The first is kinda true, but also kinda false. They've been locked into the "the virus doesn't exist but it's also made by China but it's also exaggerated by the Democrats but you can also cure it using viagra" mess. The latter, the libs downplaying coronavirus is definitely true with Omicron.
My prediction: DSA hits 100 K members in February. (Hopefully)
I'm not sure? They hit over 94,000 by July 2021, according to Wikipedia. Either way, not 100,000 by February 2021.
Yeah, feel like I might have just been early on the Boris one but it could also continue to be "surely he can't survive this scandal? oh well, nevertheless".
I didn't predict just how much of a shits how the Cyberpunk launch would be but got the right answer in the end anyway weirdly.
More private space launches than ever before definitely came true.
Lots of new species were discovered this year but this tiny chameleon has already been placed on the endangered species list due to deforestation.
Not bad on the whole (despite many of them being depressing).
Initial COVID vaccines will be rushed to market, but the rollout will be a disaster with large neoliberal nations falling way behind smaller, poorer ones in the proportion of the population vaccinated.
Kinda? Many of the smaller poorer ones we just said "fuck you" and refused to even let them vaccinate but 100% we fucked up the rollout.
A superior vaccine will be blocked by US/UK governments due to political considerations under the guise of safety or trade considerations.
No, ours are good enough
Coronavirus will mutate, possibly so hard that the current vaccine candidates turn out to be ineffective.
Getting pretty close to it
The first return to Timothy McVeigh-style terrorism via some Atomwaffen-like group. The psychic energy that culminated in Trump grew out of neoliberal failures and Democrats have just elected the greatest hits of neoliberal failures. Unless we get some policy not even being considered right now like a Canada-level UBI, social conditions will continue to follow material conditions. The fascists aren’t going to back down and embrace people who make their lives worse. I don’t know if they’ll back down from the Biden-Harris police state because blue lives matter to them, but they say that while stanning Ruby Ridge so it could go either way. If the inauguration goes as badly as the election result did, a clear divided line that isn’t moved by looking at two numbers and judging which is larger, that to me is going to be the cue that some big event is going to have a Jihad Against Joe attack. Some pudgy teenager out there saw Kyle Rittenhouse become a martyr in the eyes of every social group they belong to. Some Qanon cultist snapped when the (((demoncRATs(benghazi))) stole the election that would have made America and therefore their life great again. Both of them watched the brunch munchers celebrating and pretending that issue and the material issues of their lives no longer exist.
If that happens and the response isn’t some overwhelming federal crackdown on the far-right, I see that becoming a pattern that devolves further. - Happybadger, Public Intellectual
No big terrorist attack or move toward more organised anti-Brandon Aktion. However, conditions didn't get better which increases the incentives for the right to go that route. I feel about the same in regards to this being a 2022 prediction, balancing the increased tension of an election year with the deflated expectation from this year.
Canada-level UBI
There was no UBI in Canada. I never got anything from CERB and all our welfare programs are shit. Also the Prime Minister is absolutely not going to do UBI, even though I hear a ton of Liberal and Conservative party members think it would be a good idea.
I forget what I was on about but one of the benefit payments seemed more consistent/universal than the $1200 lump sum and extended unemployment benefits that the US had. It might have just been better unemployment.
It was CERB. Some people I know in Canada got it, but it's apparently been over since September 2020.
Me in another thread, September 2020:
Rush a vaccination to bolster the re-election campaign/the economy. Every single reported adverse effect will blow up on national media. Create a new culture war: people who are willing to take the vaccination vs. people who refuse. End result is enough people get vaxxed or naturally immune to slow the spread (but not nearly enough to stop it) allowing for everyone to ignore the situation and perform normalcy even more easily. For people who are still getting sick and dying, simply blame them or their close contacts for being anti-vaxxers, even if they aren’t and even if the vaccination isn’t that effective.
I'd say pretty accurate but not a particularly difficult prediction to make.
