Bernie probably would have cleaned up, except for the big DNC ratfucking that occurred the weekend before Super Tuesday. No statistical model is gonna predict that kind of thing, just like it couldn't predict the Comey letter. Every model---for elections or otherwise---has its limitations and one must keep those in mind when using the model.
Yeah, that's my point. Doing any kind of statistical modeling this far out is meaningless. The only numbers that are in any way falsifiable are the numbers the model spits out right before the election happens.
Bernie probably would have cleaned up, except for the big DNC ratfucking that occurred the weekend before Super Tuesday. No statistical model is gonna predict that kind of thing, just like it couldn't predict the Comey letter. Every model---for elections or otherwise---has its limitations and one must keep those in mind when using the model.
Yeah, that's my point. Doing any kind of statistical modeling this far out is meaningless. The only numbers that are in any way falsifiable are the numbers the model spits out right before the election happens.
Then ignore it. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I do
Ah! You claim to ignore the models, and yet, in this very thread,,
And I would have gotten away with it too, if it weren't for you meddling redditors!