I think his argument is that this is the case for now, but you're already seeing a small portion of minorities breaking for the GOP. I think his vision is a future where the GOP is 90% of non college educated whites, 20% college educated whites, and 30-40% of minorities, including asian, latino and black.
I don't think he's predicting a massive blexit from the Dems
I could see that playing out. The GOP sees that they can't sustain themselves demographically and are spending lots of money trying to shave off minority support from Dems even in small amounts. That Kim Klacik lady who gets joked about a lot of a prime example. The GOP knows she can't win but having a well-funded black Republican challenging the Democrats can chisel away at Democratic hegemony in the black community. It's the same logic of Dems spending tens of millions to run no-chance candidates against prominent Republicans (Mitch McConnell, Lindsay Graham) except they're actually good at propaganda and cultivating ideology in the masses.
I think his argument is that this is the case for now, but you're already seeing a small portion of minorities breaking for the GOP. I think his vision is a future where the GOP is 90% of non college educated whites, 20% college educated whites, and 30-40% of minorities, including asian, latino and black.
I don't think he's predicting a massive blexit from the Dems
I could see that playing out. The GOP sees that they can't sustain themselves demographically and are spending lots of money trying to shave off minority support from Dems even in small amounts. That Kim Klacik lady who gets joked about a lot of a prime example. The GOP knows she can't win but having a well-funded black Republican challenging the Democrats can chisel away at Democratic hegemony in the black community. It's the same logic of Dems spending tens of millions to run no-chance candidates against prominent Republicans (Mitch McConnell, Lindsay Graham) except they're actually good at propaganda and cultivating ideology in the masses.