One of several articles on this: https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-china-supercomputers-idCAKBN2R223O
everything in the next fifty to a hundred years depends on how the chinese state reacts to becoming the global (economic) hegemon. it's out of the US's hands now. assuming everyone keeps the nukes in their pants anyway.
There's a high probability that I'm dead wrong on this, but I do see China, US, EU, and India being the big players with each of them having a slice of influence. Like a 4-way Cold War.
I think that outcome relies on NATO dissolving (or equivalent) to let the EU off the USA's leash (possible), India's domestic politics being centered on something other than exterminating muslims (no idea), and a slowing or stoppage of China's formidable momentum towards dominance in semiconductor manufacture (unlikely)
Not saying it's impossible, or even the least likely outcome, but the status quo projected forward feels like the safer bet to me
I could be overestimating the importance of semiconductors in this thing though. Biden could just be doing it out of imperial terror and spite rather than a solid strategy
I’d sooner bet on the EU reverting back to the mean of Europeans trying to kill each other over petty grudges and power/resource struggles
Being in europe I agree with this take. I don't think some in the US realise quite how shaky the EU is now. Brexit may be first in a line of dominos that ends it as contradictions tighten.
As nationalism in each state rises the EU continually weakens. Individual state nationalism and the EU are incompatible, it will need to reorganise into something federal and find a way to create an EU-wide nationalism that people support or the nationalism of each individual state will result in further splits.
There are five EU countries with declining opinions of the EU over the last 12 years, Italy (-20 points), Spain (-14), France (-11) and Slovakia (-9). All of these have been caused by the right wing movements.
Greece should be on the watchlist too but because the left is strong there and anti-EU.
Fragmentation itself will come from the nationalism in individual states in my opinion. It's the rise of the right that will cause it to fall apart. Italy would probably be the soonest to go.
Isn't that the book people cite to call him a genocide denier
EU
I would have said the same last year, but the actions this year indicate they are going to cut their own throats to please the US
I'm on the same page mostly, but their member states like France do have a pretty strong grip on Africa and Spain still holds sway in the Americas. They could be like the UK in the 20th century and hold on for a while before losing their grip entirely.
Russia need a political reform go back to communist root if they want to be global player again. Without a clear ideology that able to produce strong leader, the nation seem lost
If the most powerful Western sanctions failed to destroy Russia, nothing else can
what's funny is the sheer magnitude of people who thought sanctions would work, and quickly, somehow forgetting the last 100 years of sanctions they've had to time to build resilience to...
They're still allowing South Korean chip manufacturers to do business and American companies apparently have to make appeals in order to do business like they have been. They think they can do to China what they did to Japan in the 80's but China is an entirely different beast than they were, and even the Soviet Union.
The big non-American multinationals will simply spin off siloed off subsidiaries in neutral countries with non-American employees and continue to manufacture/sell. This is quietly happening with quite a few non-US/EU companies in respect of Russia, and think how much Porky would be loathe to lose the Chinese market compared to the Russian.
Get an actual teaching qualification, like you would need to be an educator in your own country, then go teach English. Otherwise it's just exploiting Western/White privilege to hoodwink parents out of their money and children out of their time.
During the Cultural Revolution, university graduates were sent to remote agricultural regions to work alongside the rural peasantry so that the educated class would not forget what it's like to work as one of the proletariat.
If and when China starts accepting refugees from the West, it ought to consider using a similar system.
Your overall point is still correct though. A little hard labor is good for the soul, and we should seek to divide necessary manual labor up somewhat fairly and evenly. Obviously those who are elderly or disabled would be partially exempt, but I still think it’s good to mix up the remnants of the classes if you are trying to create a classless society
In parts of China (like Beijing) the word for farmer is a pretty bad slur* (maybe they need another reminder)
* I don’t speak Chinese so comrades please correct me or weigh in
Yeah in Beijing and Shanghai there are streaks of elitism which were (maybe still are) pretty bad. It's the same kind of lib-brained elitism that you'd find in New Yorkers talking shit about Kentuckyans. Calling someone a 农村人 is contextually like calling someone a hick or a hillbilly.
I think it's starting to get better now because there's a trend of young people on social media blogging about their experiences leaving city jobs and getting into farming getting big followings, but you know how these things are - it takes a long time to get over prejudices.
As for whether or not it's a slur, I think it's one of those words that is contextually positive, neutral, or a slur. Chinese is a much higher context language than English, but the best analogy I can think of is "black". There's a big difference between "she is black" and "of course she stole that, she is black."
You can always marry into citizenship! That's basically what I'm doing, my fiance has a permanent US green card but no desire to naturalize in the US and I have a lot of concerns about the future of the US.
Once it's easier to get back into PRC, hopefully by January, we'll go over and do the marriage thing and I'll apply for permanent residency which only requires residency there 3mo out of each year.
I will simply make my own chips with a hammer and stuff I find in old garages
Fuck yeah. Time to start measuring transistor size in cm again, tired of this tiny bullshit
Building an OpenGL-compliant GPU out of vacuum tubes to own the global silicon lobby
Pfft, come on, you don't need to work that hard. Here, come with me, I'll show you how to make chips out of potatoes.
CPC plans to focus on domestic consumption as a growth vector are looking pretty forward thinking right about now.
A valiant effort at stopping me, Mr U.S Government, but I'm afraid it's already too late. You see...
I already placed the order for my irresponsibly powerful Chinese laser pointers two days ago, and what's more -ohoho, what's more- I paid them an additional sum to ensure expedient shipping :xi-lib-tears:. As we speak, the devices are in transit across the hemispheres, soon to find a home in the cargo pockets of a dangerously unhinged amateur rave enthusiast.
In mere days, every structure in your precious cities will be latticed with the crisscrossing accidental scorch marks of my glorious becoming.
Evergreen TMK episode (from Sep. 9, 2021)
Castles Made of Sand
We talk about the geopolitics of microchip manufacturing, the complex factors causing the current global shortage of semiconductors, the centrality of industrial policy and intellectual property to the trade wars between Western and Eastern countries, the competition over securing leadership in strategic technology like artificial intelligence, and the consequences of changing modes of production. In other words, just another day at TMK.
China will probably respond the same way its done this whole chip "war" - quietly work on its own domestic designs until they shock all the Westoid analysts by coming out with their own products a few short years later.
It's like when your ex tries to start drama on social media. The best response is to not engage.
If capitalism without competition is exploitation, then capitalism is exploitation with competition
Do you think normal people have any inkling that Washington is aggressively provoking a war? I feel like most of them don't get it and can't see the world from that perspective.
from my experience, not at all really. We got our work cut out for us
I listened to that episode of Rania Khalek Dispatches that Matt Christman was on recently.
At some point in the episode, he posits that the US has reached an irreconcilable dichotomy between the two political parties whose only meaningful distinctions are in the realm of social issues as the very notion of class solidarity has been decimated in the country. The parties highlight the conflict between finance capital and resource extraction capital. Now that the system is breaking down so thoroughly, both parties seem committed to one thing; War with China.
Which is interesting because Matt has, to the best of my recollection, held that war with China is an impossibility because of how interlinked the economies are. Well, we're making them less linked!
Good point. I used to think war with China was impossible for economic reasons as well.
But, post-COVID, post-Russia sanctions, and post-Brandon, I think he's recognized the doom cult nature of the US and the West. Rather than reducing tensions with China that were ramped up under Trump, Brandon is only pushing things further by promising military action to "defend" Taiwan, which I have a feeling the US would love to turn into South Korea 2. Chuds are drunk on muh ebil seeseepee commies r takin my bideo games and libs are high on the state department's agitprop. Other than lefties and maybe some real old ass cold warriors, I don't see a constituency to oppose a war.
Has he specifically vocalized a change in opinion? I'm legit curious because he was adamant
So I re-watched the entire thing to pull out some quotes. It's Matt so you know there's a huge lead in that starts HERE but it's really at 33:30 to 34:00 where he presents it.
muh ebil seeseepee commies r takin my bideo games
This made me spit out my beer laughing lol thanks for that :lenin-laugh:
war with China is an impossibility
It is, our leadership just doesn't seem to care.
