That's still kind of a dumb take. You really can only believe that if you ignore all minorities. Working class POC still support the Dems out of having no better alternative, non-college-educated whites are going hard for the GOP because not only do Dems offer them nothing but the GOP promises to protect what they do have.
I think his argument is that this is the case for now, but you're already seeing a small portion of minorities breaking for the GOP. I think his vision is a future where the GOP is 90% of non college educated whites, 20% college educated whites, and 30-40% of minorities, including asian, latino and black.
I don't think he's predicting a massive blexit from the Dems
I could see that playing out. The GOP sees that they can't sustain themselves demographically and are spending lots of money trying to shave off minority support from Dems even in small amounts. That Kim Klacik lady who gets joked about a lot of a prime example. The GOP knows she can't win but having a well-funded black Republican challenging the Democrats can chisel away at Democratic hegemony in the black community. It's the same logic of Dems spending tens of millions to run no-chance candidates against prominent Republicans (Mitch McConnell, Lindsay Graham) except they're actually good at propaganda and cultivating ideology in the masses.
It's more that the Democratic party is becoming the party solely of college-educated professionals who want to feel bad about social problems and the Republican party is the party of not-necessarily-highly-educated petit bourgeois who prefer to believe that everyone who is suffering deserves it (or the college educated people who react in opposition to the liberal culture war). Neither are working class parties, but the Republican pitch is easier to extend and expand to lower classes because it doesn't require learning special terminology or anything and because nobody who's already struggling wants to get told they should feel more guilty.
He's fundamentally pessimistic about Americans broadly relearning class consciousness enough for mass nationwide political organizing along those lines and so hypothesizes that mass organization will continue only to assemble based on cultural signifiers, and follows logically from that point. That's the main part that I think you can take or leave; I'm inclined to agree with his assessment that secondary education is one of the biggest cultural sorting mechanisms in this country.
deleted by creator
That's still kind of a dumb take. You really can only believe that if you ignore all minorities. Working class POC still support the Dems out of having no better alternative, non-college-educated whites are going hard for the GOP because not only do Dems offer them nothing but the GOP promises to protect what they do have.
I think his argument is that this is the case for now, but you're already seeing a small portion of minorities breaking for the GOP. I think his vision is a future where the GOP is 90% of non college educated whites, 20% college educated whites, and 30-40% of minorities, including asian, latino and black.
I don't think he's predicting a massive blexit from the Dems
I could see that playing out. The GOP sees that they can't sustain themselves demographically and are spending lots of money trying to shave off minority support from Dems even in small amounts. That Kim Klacik lady who gets joked about a lot of a prime example. The GOP knows she can't win but having a well-funded black Republican challenging the Democrats can chisel away at Democratic hegemony in the black community. It's the same logic of Dems spending tens of millions to run no-chance candidates against prominent Republicans (Mitch McConnell, Lindsay Graham) except they're actually good at propaganda and cultivating ideology in the masses.
It's more that the Democratic party is becoming the party solely of college-educated professionals who want to feel bad about social problems and the Republican party is the party of not-necessarily-highly-educated petit bourgeois who prefer to believe that everyone who is suffering deserves it (or the college educated people who react in opposition to the liberal culture war). Neither are working class parties, but the Republican pitch is easier to extend and expand to lower classes because it doesn't require learning special terminology or anything and because nobody who's already struggling wants to get told they should feel more guilty.
He's fundamentally pessimistic about Americans broadly relearning class consciousness enough for mass nationwide political organizing along those lines and so hypothesizes that mass organization will continue only to assemble based on cultural signifiers, and follows logically from that point. That's the main part that I think you can take or leave; I'm inclined to agree with his assessment that secondary education is one of the biggest cultural sorting mechanisms in this country.